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#1 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
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One of the Scott Brown campaign watchers has an amusing post on his blog ... a series of snippets from posts by 538 statistician Nate Silver. Silver was the guy whose analysis the pro-Obama folks were relying a lot on for their 2008 cheer.
And to his credit, Silver did a very good job at predicting the final outcome. I wondered at the time how good he would do in a down year for Democrats, given that he's a dyed-in-the-wool liberal. Since then, he's provided some interesting analysis, but still has that subtle bias. Multiple times I've seen him post negative data for something he likes--Obama, health care reform, global warming--and he always seems to find something nit-picky about the data to take some reassurance in. "It's not really as bad as it looks," seems to be his theme. Well, he got slapped upside the head in Massachusettes in January, and in Maine last November (same-sex marriage initiative). Sort of amusing to see the fall-out.
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"Have we been commanded not to call a prophet an insular racist? Link?" "And yes, [2010] is a very good year to be a Democrat. Perhaps the best year in decades ..." - Cali Coug "Oh dear, granny, what a long tail our puss has got." - Brigham Young |
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#2 | |
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 5,996
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He called it a "toss up" as did Rasmussen (your favorite pollster). What's the problem? |
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#3 | |
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"Have we been commanded not to call a prophet an insular racist? Link?" "And yes, [2010] is a very good year to be a Democrat. Perhaps the best year in decades ..." - Cali Coug "Oh dear, granny, what a long tail our puss has got." - Brigham Young |
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#4 |
Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 8,596
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Silver also seems obsessed with Sarah Palin, judging by his 2nd Palin post in row this morning.
Heh, I really don't understand why the Left is so captivated by Palin. It's hilarious. Did anyone catch Gibbs' press briefing yesterday? Talk about unprofessional ... the guy exudes some seriously funny unintentional humor.
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"Have we been commanded not to call a prophet an insular racist? Link?" "And yes, [2010] is a very good year to be a Democrat. Perhaps the best year in decades ..." - Cali Coug "Oh dear, granny, what a long tail our puss has got." - Brigham Young |
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#5 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 5,996
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Palin's ascendency in the Republican party is about all the evidence you need that they have nothing to offer right now. |
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#6 | |
Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2006
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*Yawn* Worry about your own fortunes, mate.
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"Have we been commanded not to call a prophet an insular racist? Link?" "And yes, [2010] is a very good year to be a Democrat. Perhaps the best year in decades ..." - Cali Coug "Oh dear, granny, what a long tail our puss has got." - Brigham Young |
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#7 | |
Assistant to the Regional Manager
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: The Orgasmatron
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Ἓν οἶδα ὅτι οὐδὲν οἶδα |
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