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Old 02-06-2008, 01:48 PM   #1
MikeWaters
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Default Clinton will win Texas

Clinton state campaign coordinator came on and said latest polls show Clinton in the 60s and Obama in the teens.

Obama will not win any state that has a lot of latinos.

Latinos will not, under any circumstance, vote for a black man. or black woman.

And that's why Clinton won big in California. That's the story that's not getting very much play.
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Old 02-06-2008, 01:49 PM   #2
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Latinos will not, under any circumstance, vote for a black man. or black woman.
Why is that?
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Old 02-06-2008, 01:50 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeWaters View Post
Clinton state campaign coordinator came on and said latest polls show Clinton in the 60s and Obama in the teens.

Obama will not win any state that has a lot of latinos.

Latinos will not, under any circumstance, vote for a black man. or black woman.

And that's why Clinton won big in California. That's the story that's not getting very much play.
Lots of Latinos supported Obama in Arizona (around 40% of them). Careful with your generalizations.
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Old 02-06-2008, 01:52 PM   #4
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Lots of Latinos supported Obama in Arizona (around 40% of them). Careful with your generalizations.
stop being stupid. 2-1 in favor of Clinton is not "lots of Latinos".

Thousands of people are voting for Ron Paul. I wouldn't say it was "lots of people." But you would.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/s...oryId=18718803
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Old 02-06-2008, 04:10 PM   #5
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stop being stupid. 2-1 in favor of Clinton is not "lots of Latinos".

Thousands of people are voting for Ron Paul. I wouldn't say it was "lots of people." But you would.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/s...oryId=18718803
You do realize that it isn't actually mathmatically possible to outperform someone 2-1 when they get 41% of the vote, don't you?

You are right. I would say 41% of the Latino vote in Arizona is "lots of people."
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Old 02-06-2008, 04:12 PM   #6
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I'm with Tex on this one. I'm not going in the tall grass with you.
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Old 02-06-2008, 04:16 PM   #7
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I'm with Tex on this one. I'm not going in the tall grass with you.
Lol! You said "under no circumstance" would Latinos vote for Obama. 41% of Latinos DID vote for Obama in Arizona (despite your odd statement that he lost by a 2-1 margin, which isn't even possible there- were you trying to say 2-1 in all contests combined?).

36% voted for Obama in New Mexico (to 56% for Clinton).

Only 29% of Latinos voted for Obama in California (despite your claim to the contrary, that is still LOTS of Latinos).

I don't know what this tells us, other than your categorical statement that Latinos will not vote for Obama is garbage.

If Obama can take 36% or 41% in Texas, I like his chances there.
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Old 02-07-2008, 03:39 PM   #8
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Did you realize that Texas awards 1/3 of its delegates through a caucus format (where Obama has done exceptionally well) and 2/3 through a primary? The primary is open, and the caucus is closed.
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Old 02-07-2008, 05:26 PM   #9
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Did you realize that Texas awards 1/3 of its delegates through a caucus format (where Obama has done exceptionally well) and 2/3 through a primary? The primary is open, and the caucus is closed.
LOL. Don't go in the tall grass, Mike. He's waiting for you, crouching, looking intently with narrow, yellow eyes. He'll rip your head right off before you turn around.
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Old 02-07-2008, 05:47 PM   #10
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LOL. Don't go in the tall grass, Mike. He's waiting for you, crouching, looking intently with narrow, yellow eyes. He'll rip your head right off before you turn around.
Actually I think he's already letting the cubs feast on the leftovers.
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