Quote:
Originally Posted by SeattleUte
The point is that democrats winning local elections in the south are the same on cultural/social issues as their Republican opponents. Theyare the same animal in that respect. A political consultant/expert on NPR explained this today. He said the dynamic will be very different when it's McCain vs. Obama. He said that it's going to come down to are there enough blacks to counterbalance the fact that whites will vote McCain in droves. He wasn't partisan. He's from Emery University.
I think McCain will win and then we'll all feel icky about how it happened. IF the dems were running a traditional southern democrat they'd kill McCain. But they won't be.
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Republicans can't win if they lose Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Texas or Georgia. And Obama is polling great in each.
And the very fact that a Democrat just won in Mississippi's 1st District is huge. MS 01 voted for Wicker with 66% of the vote in 2006. They voted for Bush with 64% of the vote in 2004. That spells trouble for Republicans (and they know it, which is why they spent 1/3 of the RNCC cash on hand on the MS 01 election).