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07-25-2008, 02:23 PM | #1 |
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Obama's Rock Star popularity
I wonder if this will ever begin to work against him. Right now there is little question that a decent portion of his popularity is due to people who are excited by his popularity itself. This happens all the time in the pop music world, but when it does it inevitably turns off a lot of fellow admirers who go off looking for the next best thing.
In this case, there really is no next best thing. For a while, McCain was the coolest Republican around. He would show up on SNL and John Stewart loved him, but now he's Bush III. A grumpy, ugly, old warmonger. So the threat isn't McCain, but I think it's attention span. The only way Obama loses popularity is if his fawning admirers disengage from politics altogether. He'll have to compete against the NFL, CFB and World Series. He'll have to compete against good news if it comes, the inevitable capturing of OBL, falling gas prices, etc. I think all these things pose a bigger threat to him than John McCain. Mano a mano there is no contest. It will be fascinating to see if he's able to sustain his popularity, not only through November but far beyond that. Though I won't vote for him, he is probably the most unique politician I've seen in my life. It's fun to watch. |
07-25-2008, 02:28 PM | #2 | |
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If the republicans can make his record stick, he might not be as big a shoe in as people think. |
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07-25-2008, 02:30 PM | #3 | |
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07-25-2008, 03:50 PM | #4 | |
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I made that post two days ago, well before I learned that BYU71 talked to someone yesterday who is tired of Obama's popularity. That changes everything.
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Fitter. Happier. More Productive. "Everyone is against me. Everyone is fawning for 3D's attention and defending him." -- SeattleUte |
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07-25-2008, 02:29 PM | #5 | |
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You need to read the Book of Obama
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"Have we been commanded not to call a prophet an insular racist? Link?" "And yes, [2010] is a very good year to be a Democrat. Perhaps the best year in decades ..." - Cali Coug "Oh dear, granny, what a long tail our puss has got." - Brigham Young |
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07-25-2008, 03:10 PM | #6 |
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Although I was just a lad, I remember candidate Bill Clinton playing the sax on the Arsenio Hall show while wearing his cool dude sunglasses. The other option was old man Herbert Walker.
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07-25-2008, 04:08 PM | #7 | |
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I'd imagine you'll see this story gain momentum again as the general election picks up. The first time around, this coverage coincided with a (caused a?) slide in his support. I think with enough attention that could happen again. All you have to do is plant doubt in the minds of the disciples. McCain would be wise to drop subtle references to Obama's cult status here and there, but I'm not sure McCain is a polished enough speaker to pull it off. He'll more likely overdo it and just look like a crotchety old man jealous of the young guy getting all the attention. |
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07-25-2008, 02:38 PM | #8 |
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07-25-2008, 02:58 PM | #9 | |
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Reagan, "like him or hate him", had a solid resume of accomplishments. You had a decent idea of how he would govern. Obama? Nobody really knows. We have to simply go by his speeches, or a string of "present" votes in the Illinois legislature, or his non-existent membership on the Senate Banking committee. Obama is highly charismatic, no question. But Reagan? Please. What do you know about the man to make such a comparison.
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"Have we been commanded not to call a prophet an insular racist? Link?" "And yes, [2010] is a very good year to be a Democrat. Perhaps the best year in decades ..." - Cali Coug "Oh dear, granny, what a long tail our puss has got." - Brigham Young |
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07-25-2008, 03:22 PM | #10 | |
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First, if elected, he'll have big time political capital. This may sound paranoid or conspiratorial, but come January or February, we'll start hearing some damn good news coming out of Iraq. The national mood will be lifted and Obama will have some serious cred. His 2009 honeymoon period could last well into the fall. Second, he'll be dealing with a Democratic congress that has a sizable majority. Unless Nancy P and Harry Reid pull a power play, Congressional Dems will be at the Presidents' beck and call. Third, I think Obama has surrounded himself with a pretty good staff. His campaign is very well run and it's likely that his administration will be equally efficient. It's very possible that at this time next year we will be discussing how we're enjoying our new universal health care. |
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